THUR – 07/11/19
Good Thursday… The surf is flat and the winds are light and offshore so the water is nice and calm and good for some paddling around and some fishing. The surf is not really forecast to pickup until Saturday at the earliest and that is all dependent on how organized this storm gets, so we will have to hold on the call for swell until tomorrow, just too many variables right now.
Tropical Storm Barry is approximately 95 miles south-southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River, the storm has become slightly better organized over the past several hours, thus it has been upgraded. Winds are near 40 mph. Barry is expected to slowly move westward today and strenghten some. This feature will move in a west motion through tonight before turning toward the northwest Friday and even north this weekend. Based on everything that I have looked at, I think that it’s quite possible that Barry will come ashore sometime between Saturday morning and early Saturday afternoon along the south-central or even southeastern Louisiana coastline. Right now, the thinking is for the center of the storm to make landfall in Vermilion Bay as a 80 to 90 mph hurricane. With that said, the uncertainty as to where exactly a concentrated center will form is high and thus there is the possibility that this system could come ashore as far west as Cameron and Lake Charles or as far east as Grand Isle and New Orleans.